A tropical depression is likely to develop by Wednesday in the central Caribbean, with a possible upgrade to a tropical storm by Thursday and potentially a hurricane by Friday.

Once a Tropical Storm forms, Sara is the next name on the list. In the short term, the storm will stay in the Caribbean, but a threat to the Florida Gulf Coast is possible next week.

There is a strong consensus among the various computer forecast models that the tropical disturbance near Jamaica will organize into a tropical depression before the end of the week and pretty quickly develop into Tropical Storm Sara.