The center of a tropical disturbance that flared up in the Gulf began to move across land on Friday, bringing heavy rainfall to parts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas.

Texas has avoided early-season tropical storms so far, but the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season starts in mid-August and lasts into mid-October.

Colorado State University experts released their final forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season last week, on Aug. 6.

While there is no longer a risk of a short-lived tropical depression or storm forming in the southwestern Gulf, pockets of heavy rain could still trigger flash flooding into the weekend.

As the Gulf disturbance nears Texas, tropical moisture will surge Friday and Saturday in the Houston metro area, leading to increasing storm chances.

Tropical atmospheric moisture will surge into Central Texas on Friday and Saturday as a stormy disturbance moves into South Texas.

An area of storms southwest of Texas, which was designated by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) as Invest 98L, now has a low chance of tropical development as it quickly approaches northeastern Mexico and south Texas but is still expected to drench the area with heavy rain Friday and into the weekend.

Hurricane Erin became the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season on Friday, with sustained winds of 75 mph as it moves toward the Leeward Islands.