While the NHC says the system currently has a medium chance for further development, AccuWeather warns that its development potential is high risk. Should the system develop, it could become a problem for Florida.

Water temperatures in the Caribbean are higher than average, which helps fuel extra activity. We have already had two named systems this month, and this new area is likely to develop in the western Caribbean before the end of the week. If it becomes a named storm, the next name on the list is Sara.

Consensus of the computer forecast models show that the robust Tropical Disturbance south of the Dominican Republic will develop and eventually organize into a tropical depression or tropical storm.

Invest 97L in the Caribbean could become a tropical depression in the next few days. If the storm is named, it will be called Rafael. There is a lot of uncertainty with this system, but some models are now coming into better consensus. The wave currently moving NE is expected to turn NW south of Cuba and then eventually move into the Gulf

Expect a disturbance in the Caribbean Sea to become tropical depression by Tuesday as it brings rainstorms to the western Caribbean, the National Hurricane Center said Sunday in its 7 a.m. Atlantic update. There’s another disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean, but that’s not expected to become anything more this week, if ever.

AccuWeather presented two scenarios a potential Tropical Storm Patty could follow, both of which may target Florida.

Reasonable tracks for the end of the week range from west toward Mexico or Texas to north toward the Florida Panhandle.

A disturbance in the North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea could form over the southwester Caribbean Sea, The National Hurricane Center said.