Bayes' Theorem: What It Is, Formula, and Examples

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...
Forbes

Understanding Basic Probability Is The First Step To Better Models

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Writes about the future of finance and technology, follow for more. Joint probability teaches us to calculate combined outcomes.
Scientific American

What is Bayes's theorem, and how can it be used to assign probabilities to questions such as the existence of God? What scientific value does it have?

Chris Wiggins, an associate professor of applied mathematics at Columbia University, offers this explanation. A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent ...
Scientific American

Bayes's Theorem: What's the Big Deal?

This article was published in Scientific American’s former blog network and reflects the views of the author, not necessarily those of Scientific American I’m not sure when I first heard of Bayes’ ...
Princeton University

CHAPTER 1: PROBABILITY

"Yes or no: was there once life on Mars?" I can't say. "What about intelligent life?"' That seems most unlikely, but again, I can't really say. The simple yes-or-no framework has no place for shadings ...
Inverse

Make Better Decisions With Bayesian Probability, the Smart Way to Consider Risk

It’s estimated that human adults make about 35,000 decisions a day — the percentage of good decisions depends on the adult. These choices can be as banal as deciding to roll or crumple toilet paper or ...